Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 7.782974 8.773759 9.804563 10.953910 12.196476 13.496227 14.955456
2024-10-20 6.071813 7.447887 8.962662 10.740851 12.757945 14.962248 17.540263
2024-10-27 4.867366 6.387948 8.137433 10.272443 12.780623 15.607574 19.007835
2024-11-03 4.292148 5.955551 7.939050 10.434627 13.446065 16.919572 21.184289
2024-11-10 3.841108 5.607964 7.783760 10.595615 14.067820 18.151656 23.252085
2024-11-17 3.342608 5.140914 7.428462 10.463772 14.296254 18.888079 24.715400
2024-11-24 2.990497 4.825743 7.230214 10.496465 14.701533 19.820721 26.406212
2024-12-01 2.661589 4.506987 6.996364 10.455757 14.992775 20.599432 27.903707
2024-12-08 2.386950 4.236208 6.801749 10.444221 15.304137 21.392754 29.416227
2024-12-15 2.335009 4.283092 7.038927 11.009324 16.368564 23.144546 32.141792
2024-12-22 2.114686 4.055701 6.873904 11.013106 16.684976 23.941256 33.669998
2024-12-29 2.065074 4.086279 7.074343 11.521166 17.676883 25.614577 36.325660
2025-01-05 1.954709 4.015075 7.126749 11.829235 18.415885 26.986513 38.636896
2025-01-12 1.712648 3.706857 6.808839 11.595660 18.407169 27.377757 39.690573
2025-01-19 1.437237 3.311590 6.330071 11.101419 18.013533 27.240229 40.041558
2025-01-26 1.338869 3.215995 6.308408 11.272775 18.546604 28.338702 42.015838
2025-02-02 1.248944 3.126468 6.289207 11.442886 19.076520 29.435911 43.997219
2025-02-09 1.107333 2.924500 6.074027 11.303577 19.154931 29.915973 45.159611
2025-02-16 1.011004 2.799390 5.976786 11.338124 19.479762 30.731802 46.774248
2025-02-23 0.910506 2.654162 5.835434 11.295108 19.685404 31.381263 48.167651
2025-03-02 0.824249 2.528125 5.718277 11.282917 19.931626 32.085656 49.638387
2025-03-09 0.835277 2.613601 5.976740 11.879850 21.094183 34.082867 52.885077
2025-03-16 0.760252 2.500101 5.872926 11.883842 21.364746 34.828356 54.428224